Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.007313 0.008502 0.009907 0.011713 0.014009 0.016878 0.020817
2025-10-19 0.005669 0.007065 0.008891 0.011530 0.015389 0.021076 0.030646
2025-10-26 0.004837 0.006308 0.008369 0.011606 0.016866 0.025735 0.043661
2025-11-02 0.004201 0.005658 0.007800 0.011380 0.017699 0.029610 0.058052
2025-11-09 0.003644 0.005018 0.007107 0.010759 0.017615 0.031720 0.070517
2025-11-16 0.003239 0.004544 0.006587 0.010298 0.017660 0.034091 0.086143
2025-11-23 0.003025 0.004332 0.006447 0.010466 0.018977 0.039997 0.120612
2025-11-30 0.002786 0.004051 0.006149 0.010274 0.019466 0.044131 0.156386
2025-12-07 0.002556 0.003761 0.005796 0.009905 0.019447 0.046885 0.192666
2025-12-14 0.002389 0.003558 0.005573 0.009758 0.019923 0.051523 0.254685
2025-12-21 0.002310 0.003497 0.005597 0.010129 0.021837 0.062601 0.421037
2025-12-28 0.002263 0.003485 0.005708 0.010708 0.024562 0.079783 0.842169
2026-01-04 0.002166 0.003387 0.005664 0.010987 0.026741 0.098784 1.888810
2026-01-11 0.002034 0.003213 0.005454 0.010838 0.027572 0.112823 4.022062
2026-01-18 0.001936 0.003095 0.005342 0.010909 0.029220 0.135737 14.838955
2026-01-25 0.001825 0.002942 0.005137 0.010701 0.029790 0.153038 77.353170
2026-02-01 0.001694 0.002742 0.004816 0.010130 0.028741 0.155493 328.535119
2026-02-08 0.001587 0.002581 0.004563 0.009706 0.028160 0.162202 143027.294812
2026-02-15 0.001535 0.002521 0.004521 0.009861 0.030097 0.201440 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001462 0.002416 0.004372 0.009683 0.030520 0.226035 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001384 0.002296 0.004178 0.009344 0.030068 0.238483 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001326 0.002211 0.004057 0.009208 0.030573 0.269994 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001303 0.002196 0.004092 0.009550 0.033712 0.374262 NaN